Reliability means being connected – we need a strong integrated electricity system with nuclear generation as its workhorse

Published by mzconsultng on

It was with great fanfare that Tesla launched its home battery recently.   Headlines like “Tesla launches Powerwall home battery with aim to revolutionize energy consumption” were the norm as the public read about this revolutionary jump forward in energy storage. A recent article on where famed author Margaret Atwood is investing says it all …. “if [Tesla CEO] Elon Musk was putting his Powerwall on the market, I would certainly buy a piece of that. My feeling is that, once that becomes affordable, everyone is going to do that. I think that’s definitely the wave of the future.”

After all, this is the dream isn’t it? We can all generate our own electricity with clean energy efficient solar panels and store enough on our home batteries to keep us going when the sun goes down. What can be better for our common future?

Well, in fact, just about everything.

It must be my age and my years in the energy industry that remind me of what are the real essential attributes of electricity supply. Reliability and Economics. Yes, that’s right. For anyone who works in a modern electricity utility, that is what they focus on; delivering cost effective reliable electricity to users. And in today’s energy intensive world where we need electricity for every aspect of our hyper active and energy intensive lives, this is even more critical. We have all experienced temporary blackouts and know well the negative impact it has. The problem then with renewable energy generated at home is that, at least for now, it is neither reliable nor economic. Since the announcement from Tesla there have been a number of articles that explain this in detail, but of course supporters will just say that in time all problems will be solved. And frankly they may be right.

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So let’s step back and ask ourselves a more important question – are we trying to solve the right problem? Most people have no idea what it takes to generate and deliver the electricity (the so-called “grid”) we take for granted in the modern world. In fact, many just think electricity is something that comes out of the wall outlet. What we all want is that when we turn on the switch, or plug in our phones, it just works. We are not in any way prepared for a world in which we say – oh, it’s cloudy so we better not charge our iPhone today! I love the recent TV ads where BMW is explaining how they build their new I3 electric car in wind powered factories. Yet, do any of us really think that on days when it is not windy, these factories sit idle? No, of course not.

In most advanced economies around the globe we have achieved a high level of reliability in electricity supply. In fact this is one of the measures that makes an economy ‘advanced’. The problem is that much of our electricity is generated with fossil fuels; primarily coal. (Coal continues to be the largest source of Germany’s electricity where BMW has its factories, at nearly 50% of total supply). And along with this comes both pollution and a high level of carbon emissions. Therefore, the only way to address these environmental issues is to reduce the use of fossil fuels, not to eliminate an integrated grid.

Just like being connected to the internet improves our lives, so does being connected to a reliable electricity grid. Do we really want to live a life where if it is cloudy for a few days and our batteries run dry we do without? Of course not. Just imagine how much excess battery capacity we would each need to avoid this possibility. Even Elon Musk notes that his battery is currently for emergency backup – not for daily use – and yes it would be great to have some amount of reasonably economic backup for when we experience an outage. But as is starting to be seen in California where there are numerous discussions of the “duck curve”, people want it all – they want to generate their own electricity when they can believing this is the best approach, but they also want the system to be there just in case they need it; and at a moment’s notice. The result – higher costs all around. The less the grid system is used, the more it costs to keep the infrastructure in place to make up the shortfall when needed.

The answer is simple, let’s take what works and make it even better.  That is a large interconnected grid that includes large scale reliable economic generation based on nuclear power, and hydro where available, supplemented by wind and solar depending upon the local availability of these resources. To be reliable and cost effective, a system needs generation that can run all the time, not just when the wind is blowing or the sun is shining. As storage technology improves, it can then contribute to both help manage the intermittency of renewable generation as well as flattening the demand curve to enable an even larger share of nuclear generation.

Remember, our economy, and in fact our very way of life, is completely dependent upon the availability of reliable, clean and economic electricity. So while we may dream of not needing the grid as we each generate our own electricity, what we really need is a strong well interconnected grid made up of reliable economic nuclear power as its work horse, with wind, solar and other forms of generation contributing when they can; all coupled with new forms of large scale storage to both even out demand and supply. Now this is more likely to be the system of the future.

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2 Comments

rennie caplan · June 30, 2015 at 10:05 am

This was very informative.
Excellant read

M Hovis · July 3, 2015 at 6:11 pm

As a user of solar power, driver of a Chevy Volt, and supporter of the Tesla Solarwall, I take a couple of issues. For starters, Tesla is offering three batteries for different uses. One for commercial use, one for emergency backup as stated in the article and one for the sole purpose of discharging daily in conjunction with a solar array.

Buying a big enough battery to handle rainy days is not practical. If one wanted an off grid reliable solution, it would include both a battery and a generator for the rainy days. This however is not the answer. The Tesla battery is not even aimed at powering your entire home all night off of the solar energy you gather by day. The intent is to eliminate the “duck curve” referenced in the article. Solar power eliminates peak load demands from noon until around 3:00- 4:00PM. The point of a battery supplement is to store just enough power to get the consumer and the utility through peak load hours. THAT is what the future looks like.

Let me explain it another way in an example: In the near future, a person will leave their home in the morning in their electric vehicle (EV). When they arrive at work, they plug in. The EV is programmable to begin transfer at any time so this begins around 10:00 AM when the sun is in full force with solar offsetting power requirements. The EV continues to draw power until around 3:00 PM. When the individual leaves work and arrives home, they plug in. For those living in an apartment complex without access to a plug, the autonomous EV will drive itself to a designated parking area for wireless charging. This will be available in 5 years. Wireless charging is available now. In all cases the EV not only does not draw from the grid but gives its remaining power back assisting the smoothing of the duck curve. Later that evening around 10:00 PM when power load is at a minimum, the EV starts buying power from the utilities in a market that they have never had before. The Tesla Powerwall can even be used by customers without solar to eliminate time of use (TOU) rates further eliminating the duck curve.

Currently 1-in-3 people who own solar own an EV, so this equation is already taking shape. This same group will not go off the grid, but will add the battery and thus eliminate the dreaded duck curve.

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